For contingency counsel & litigators

Your docket is unpaid inventory with no clock.

Clients ask how long. Your balance sheet asks the same question. Tertius is one clock for both seats — honest ranges a client can hear, and a view of when your open matters free cash and attention for the firm. Timing and how cases end, only: the merits stay yours, and strategy research stays in the tools you already use.

Put a clock on your caseloadOr try one matter free →Free lookup · client-ready report $149 · federal civil
Breach of contract250,336 real cases
How long it runs
127 d fast273 d median2.3 yr slow
How cases like this end
Settled 35%Dismissed 33%Judgment 20%Other 13%

One matter from the same clock — the product is the whole docket.

01 — The slow matter

One slow case can own
the next three years.

On contingency, the firm finances every case it takes — payroll, experts, the credit line, all advanced against a payday with no date on it. Which means every optimistic calendar is a cash decision in disguise: the matter that runs long doesn't just cost sleep, it quietly decides the hires you don't make and the cases you can't take. And the one question that governs all of it — when does this end? — is the one nobody in the building can answer.

Not because anyone lacks judgment. Because nobody gave the shelf a clock.

02 — The caseload clock

What Monday looks like with a clock on the shelf.

Import your open matters once. Every Monday after that, the firm sees the same three things — without anyone building a spreadsheet.

Every matter

Each open matter, on a band

Remaining time as a range — a fast tenth, a typical middle, a slow tenth — conditioned on how long each matter has already run. Never a single date.

The shelf

When half the shelf frees

The month by which half your open matters have resolved and paid — with a cautious version beside the typical one, so the plan survives a slow year.

The flags

What's aging out of band

Matters that have outlived most cases like them get flagged early — while there's still a decision to make, not after the year is already gone.

This isn't a gadget invented for lawyers — litigation funders and insurers run the same discipline on their portfolios. It's the standard treatment for money that's waiting on courts; a contingency shelf is exactly that.

Put a clock on your caseloadStart with matters you've already closed — the clock grades itself on your own record before you trust it with the open ones.
03 — The client conversation

Ranges a client can hear — and you can stand behind.

The other seat of the same clock. A number a client hears as a promise is a liability; this one is built so it can't be heard that way.

Say it in ranges

“Cases like yours typically resolve in about two years. One in ten wraps inside fifteen months; one in ten runs past four.” The forecast is built to be said exactly that way — a range with a middle, never a promise.

Hand them the page

The client-ready page carries the uncertainty language and disclaimers on its face — estimates, not promises; timing, not merits. The document manages the expectation so you don't have to re-litigate it later.

Re-run it as the case ages

A case two years in isn't the case you filed. Re-run the range at six and twelve months and it updates to where the matter actually stands — so check-ins get a current number, not a stale one.

The self-serve taste — one matter, two minutes

TertiusSingle-case report
Start with your complaint
or type the details instead
Paste the text of the complaint — the first page is usually enough. It isn’t stored beyond building your report.
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Read my case
Check what it read
Tertius shows each fact it pulled and the exact line it came from. Fix anything off before the numbers run.
Case name
Acme Robotics, Inc. v. Globex Corp.
Case type
Patent (830)
Read: “COMPLAINT FOR PATENT INFRINGEMENT
District
N.D. Cal.
Read: “NORTHERN DISTRICT OF CALIFORNIA
Amount demanded
$1M – $10M
Read: “damages … no less than $5,000,000
Filing date
Aug 14, 2024
Read: “FILED AUG 14 2024
Jury
Demanded
Read: “DEMAND FOR JURY TRIAL
Jurisdiction
Federal question
Read: “arising under the patent laws
Show my free preview
Tertius case report
Acme Robotics, Inc. v. Globex Corp.
Patent (830) · N.D. Cal. · $1M–$10M · filed Aug 14, 2024
Expected timeline
Filing to termination, based on the case details below.
Median
0.0 yr
0 days
Fast path (p10)
0 mo
Slow path (p90)
0.0 yr
15 mo fast2.4 yr median5.4 yr slow
Patent suits in N.D. Cal. with a jury demand run longer than the federal median; the wide interval reflects variation in claim-construction and discovery schedules.
Share of comparable cases still open
The model’s survival curve for this case — how the cohort resolves over time.
How it ends
From mature cohorts of this case type — procedural priors, not merits.
17% dismissed71% settled or reach judgment12% transferred / continues
When cases like this are dismissed, it typically happens around 10 mo.
What moves the timeline
Each feature re-forecast against its baseline — a real what-if, not a weight readout.
Patent (NOS 830)
+205d
Jury demand
+150d
$5M+ demanded
+75d
Federal question
+20d
N.D. Cal. docket
55d
The comparable cohort
Observed durations for patent cases nationally.
Observed median
2.6 yr
Cases in cohort
0
Data source
Federal Judicial Center IDB
About this report. Generated Jun 2026 by model acta-3.2 from public federal court records, forecast graded out-of-sample. A reference-class forecast — calibrated expectations for a case with these characteristics, not a prediction of this case’s merits, and not legal advice. Tertius forecasts timing and disposition, never merits or damages.
Paste complaint
Confirm what it read
Your report

Illustrative sample. Run a real matter free at /lookup; the full client-ready report is $149. Same clock the caseload view runs on — this is the on-ramp, not the whole product.

04 — Burn vs. wait

Another year of carry, priced.

Every settlement conversation is secretly a timing conversation: what another year of experts, payroll, and interest costs against what waiting might add. You already know your economics. What's been missing is the other input — how much clock is realistically left, and when matters like this one tend to resolve. Hold or settle stays entirely your call. Now it's a call with a denominator.

05 — What this is, and isn't

The clock, not the case.

Tertius is

  • How long matters like yours run, as honest ranges
  • How they tend to end — settled, dismissed, judgment — as base rates
  • When your caseload frees cash and attention
  • Client-safe language for all of the above

Tertius isn't

  • Judge, motion, or opposing-counsel win rates
  • Damages models or merits predictions
  • An opinion on whether you'll win
  • A date. Nobody honestly has one; we won't pretend to.

Do strategy research in the tools you already use. Use Tertius for the clock.

06 — Before you trust it

Checkable,
not asserted.

You don't put a number in front of a client or an adjuster because a vendor said so. The method and the track record are public — see how it works and the published benchmarks — and the fastest check of all is your own filing cabinet.

  • Graded out of sample — scored on cases it never saw, and on your own closed matters if you ask it to.
  • Error and coverage are published, not asserted — including where the ranges are still weak.
  • Every figure is a range with a middle. It will not hand you a date, because nobody honestly has one.
  • U.S. federal civil timing and disposition only — scope stated plainly, on every page.
07 — Two ways in

The caseload, or one matter first.

The product

Put your caseload on the clock

Import matters you've already closed and let the clock grade itself against your own record — blind. Then put the open matters on it: remaining ranges, when the shelf frees, what's aging out of band. Firm rules ship as one-click templates — “flag anything likely to outlive the credit line” — and every view carries the verdict. On the Fund plan, a weekly brief emails the whole picture to the partners who never log in.

The on-ramp

Try one matter first

Run a matter free in about two minutes. The full client-ready report — range, disposition mix, dismissal risk, cited comparables — is $149. Same clock, one matter at a time.

Your judgment on the merits.
Tertius on the clock.

Honest ranges for the clients. A timeline for the cash carrying them. One clock, both seats — and it grades itself on your own closed matters first.

Tertius forecasts timing and disposition, not merits or damages, and is not legal advice. U.S. federal civil cases only.